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Qual 642016 Sacramento Regional
Red67
214125.9
464311.4
29524.9
Blue135
97157.0
513417.7
167134.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49112010015067135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2141
#44
25.90.6
23.6→23.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End5.2
blue by 31.1
971
#1
57.03.4
49.8→53.2
Auto17.0
Teleop31.7
End8.2
Second
295
#11
24.90.6
22.2→21.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End4.0
blue by 9.6
1671
#15
34.52.0
34.7→36.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Third
4643
#60
11.40.6
11.1→10.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5134
#13
17.72.0
15.1→17.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed