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Red119
325540.2
581030.3
998015.6
Blue76
345323.4
520926.0
448630.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910005015020025011976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 9.8
4486
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
5810
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 4.4
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
9980
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.8
3453
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6