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Red123
325540.2
581030.3
98025.9
Blue107
345323.4
520926.0
448630.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12398050150200250123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 9.8
4486
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
5810
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 4.4
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
Third
980
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
red by 2.6
3453
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6