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Red110
345323.4
520926.0
448630.4
Blue87
351231.2
458418.9
68727.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029605015020011087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
blue by 0.8
3512
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
Second
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
blue by 1.8
687
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
Third
3453
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
red by 4.5
4584
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6