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Red85
520926.0
447027.7
345323.4
Blue64
98124.9
581030.3
59923.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79820501001502008564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4470
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
blue by 2.7
5810
Unranked
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Second
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 1.1
981
Unranked
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Third
3453
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
blue by 0.6
599
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds