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Red41
68727.7
1138B14.3
1197B18.6
Blue0
351231.2
461924.5
116027.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58900150200250300410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
blue by 3.5
3512
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
Second
1197B
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 8.8
1160
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8
Third
1138B
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 10.2
4619
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds2%Capture odds