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Semifinal 1-12016 Fall Classic (Day 1)
Red96
325540.2
581030.3
116027.4
Blue85
1197B18.6
119737.3
98124.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126970501502002509685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
40.20.0
40.2→40.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 2.9
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.3→37.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Second
5810
Unranked
30.30.0
30.3→30.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 5.4
981
Unranked
24.90.0
24.9→24.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Third
1160
Unranked
27.40.0
27.4→27.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8
red by 8.8
1197B
Unranked
18.60.0
18.6→18.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0