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Semifinal 1-22016 Fall Classic (Day 1)
Red159
325540.2
581030.3
98025.9
Blue114
98124.9
119737.3
59923.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122106050150200159114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
Unranked
40.20.0
40.2→40.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 2.9
1197
Unranked
37.30.0
37.3→37.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Second
5810
Unranked
30.30.0
30.3→30.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 5.4
981
Unranked
24.90.0
24.9→24.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Third
980
Unranked
25.90.0
25.9→25.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.5
red by 2.0
599
Unranked
23.90.0
23.9→23.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9