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Red10
345323.4
520926.0
448630.4
Blue0
407924.6
458418.9
68727.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10486050150200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 2.7
687
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
Second
5209
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.2
red by 1.4
4079
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
3453
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
red by 4.5
4584
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End2.6