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Red182
98746.6
119730.2
501229.3
Blue115
33050.1
29435.6
145223.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313580100160180200182115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#6
46.60.9
45.546.4
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End7.2
blue by 3.5
330
#5
50.10.7
50.649.9
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End7.4
Second
30.20.6
29.430.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
blue by 5.4
294
#2
35.60.7
36.035.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.2
End5.2
Third
5012
#25
29.30.9
28.229.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End5.7
red by 5.7
1452
#39
23.60.7
24.023.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End2.5