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Red111
98746.6
119730.2
501229.3
Blue170
33050.1
29435.6
145223.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713280100120140160180111170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#6
46.60.6
46.445.8
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End7.2
blue by 3.5
330
#5
50.10.4
49.950.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End7.4
Second
30.20.4
30.029.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
blue by 5.4
294
#2
35.60.4
35.435.7
Auto8.2
Teleop22.2
End5.2
Third
5012
#25
29.30.6
29.128.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End5.7
red by 5.7
1452
#39
23.60.4
23.423.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End2.5