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Red72
510214.7
116022.8
84819.5
Blue37
551220.7
175914.9
564714.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801007237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#24
22.82.4
14.216.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
red by 2.1
5512
#48
20.71.5
14.312.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
848
#47
19.52.4
16.218.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 4.6
1759
#57
14.91.5
11.910.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.6
End0.1
Third
5102
#58
14.72.4
14.817.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 0.2
5647
#63
14.51.5
14.012.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed