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Red60
554017.8
596616.9
29435.6
Blue57
86718.0
33050.1
166116.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801006057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
35.60.4
26.326.7
Auto8.2
Teleop22.2
End5.2
blue by 14.5
330
#5
50.10.3
33.032.7
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End7.4
Second
5540
#20
17.80.4
15.816.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 0.2
867
#46
18.00.3
12.912.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
5966
#44
16.90.4
9.49.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
red by 0.2
1661
#54
16.70.3
14.213.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed