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Qual 682016 Los Angeles Regional
Red59
70217.5
69631.0
84819.5
Blue92
340815.8
263742.2
86718.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7568204060801001205992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#22
31.01.4
32.3→30.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 11.2
2637
#3
42.21.3
41.0→42.3
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Second
848
#47
19.51.4
20.4→19.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 1.5
867
#46
18.02.2
14.5→16.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
702
#56
17.51.4
18.9→17.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.5
End0.9
red by 1.7
3408
#51
15.82.2
11.7→13.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed