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Red79
427626.1
551220.7
600020.9
Blue65
512430.5
554017.8
375916.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656550607080907965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
25.125.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End4.3
blue by 4.4
5124
#18
30.50.3
30.530.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End4.1
Second
6000
#16
20.90.5
20.821.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 3.1
5540
#20
17.80.3
17.217.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
5512
#48
20.70.5
18.318.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 4.5
3759
#60
16.10.3
15.015.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed