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Red76
392519.8
330325.7
581726.0
Blue92
207325.5
276122.3
454328.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707140506080901001107692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#35
26.00.8
26.727.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End3.1
blue by 2.6
4543
#39
28.52.7
27.730.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
3303
#22
25.70.8
24.425.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.0
End4.3
red by 0.1
2073
#15
25.52.7
18.721.4
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
Third
3925
#17
19.80.8
17.418.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.6
blue by 2.5
2761
#25
22.32.7
21.624.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed