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Red68
549620.8
605923.8
510419.5
Blue70
132335.4
25452.7
264318.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479301506870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.8
16.618.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 28.9
254
#2
52.71.5
41.239.8
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
Second
5496
#38Sur
20.81.8
19.221.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 14.6
1323
#8Sur
35.41.5
24.322.8
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Third
5104
#30
19.51.8
16.418.2
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End3.0
red by 1.3
2643
#34
18.21.5
17.716.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed