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Red10
318917.6
392519.8
513413.2
Blue56
499016.0
567724.2
97215.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5155102030406070801056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#17
19.85.6
16.711.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.6
blue by 4.4
5677
#12
24.21.3
20.118.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Second
3189
#24
17.65.6
18.312.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 1.6
4990
#41
16.01.3
18.717.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.5
Third
5134
#47
13.25.6
15.19.5
Auto0.8
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 2.6
972
#45
15.81.3
13.812.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed