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Red45
304526.6
207325.5
425514.1
Blue82
75117.9
166228.9
97341.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49670204060801001204582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#19
26.60.6
18.517.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End4.4
blue by 15.0
973
#5
41.62.2
28.430.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.0
End5.5
Second
2073
#15
25.50.6
18.718.1
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
blue by 3.3
1662
#21
28.92.2
20.923.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.4
End9.4
Third
4255
#48
14.10.6
13.412.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End3.0
blue by 3.8
751
#26
17.92.2
12.915.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed