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Red51
413527.6
67026.1
549620.8
Blue65
471124.6
350121.2
392519.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001201401605165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#13
27.61.5
17.716.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End4.2
red by 3.0
24.61.6
20.722.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Second
670
#27
26.11.5
25.824.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End2.7
red by 4.9
3501
#31
21.21.6
18.420.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
5496
#38
20.81.5
21.019.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 1.0
3925
#17
19.81.6
11.112.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed