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Red80
454328.5
166228.9
64926.1
Blue97
318917.6
167853.3
567724.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70760501001502002508097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#21
28.91.3
23.124.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.4
End9.4
blue by 24.4
53.32.1
41.643.7
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End8.4
Second
4543
#39
28.51.3
26.527.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
red by 4.3
5677
#12
24.22.1
18.820.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Third
649
#33
26.11.3
19.120.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.1
End3.0
red by 8.5
3189
#24
17.62.1
12.814.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed