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Red108
25452.7
281314.5
385922.4
Blue59
425514.1
417116.5
513632.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84430206010012014010859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
52.72.5
39.842.2
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 20.3
5136
#16
32.40.6
21.922.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End3.9
Second
3859
#11
22.42.5
17.820.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 5.9
4171
#42
16.50.6
13.514.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
2813
#43
14.52.5
18.220.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 0.4
4255
#48
14.10.6
12.813.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed