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Red62
497313.7
304526.6
167133.8
Blue76
196717.5
330325.7
276122.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001201406276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#14
33.80.4
28.629.0
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End5.8
red by 8.2
3303
#22
25.72.6
14.617.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.0
End4.3
Second
3045
#19
26.60.4
17.918.3
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End4.4
red by 4.3
2761
#25
22.32.6
17.720.3
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Third
4973
#49
13.70.4
11.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 3.8
1967
#44
17.52.6
20.122.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed