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Red60
142218.7
581726.0
499016.0
Blue81
397029.6
510419.5
132335.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567002040801001201406081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#35
26.00.4
21.021.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End3.1
blue by 9.5
35.41.7
22.724.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Second
1422
#32
18.70.4
19.519.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 10.8
3970
#20
29.61.7
25.026.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Third
4990
#41
16.00.4
16.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.5
blue by 3.5
5104
#30
19.51.7
18.219.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed