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Red54
549917.7
276122.3
97215.8
Blue69
605923.8
207325.5
167853.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547702040601001205469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2761
#25
22.30.7
20.719.9
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 31.0
53.30.3
36.936.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End8.4
Second
5499
#29
17.70.7
19.418.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 7.8
2073
#15
25.50.3
19.018.7
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
Third
972
#45
15.80.7
15.614.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.8
End-0.5
blue by 8.0
23.89.0
24.415.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed