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Red96
97341.6
549620.8
318917.6
Blue92
67026.1
513632.4
397029.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656650607080909692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
41.63.0
28.531.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.0
End5.5
red by 9.2
5136
#16
32.42.0
18.220.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End3.9
Second
5496
#38
20.83.0
17.320.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 8.7
3970
#20
29.62.0
22.324.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Third
3189
#24
17.63.0
17.920.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 8.5
670
#27
26.12.0
23.625.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed