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Qual 552016 Central Valley Regional
Red47
145815.5
350121.2
318917.6
Blue84
513413.2
97341.6
497313.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59612040801004784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#31
21.21.8
21.2→19.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End2.0
blue by 20.4
973
#5
41.62.2
34.9→37.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.0
End5.5
Second
3189
#24
17.61.8
18.3→16.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 3.9
4973
#49
13.72.2
12.0→14.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
1458
#40
15.51.8
18.3→16.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 2.3
5134
#47
13.22.2
12.1→14.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed