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Red84
545823.4
264318.2
513632.4
Blue101
67026.1
454328.5
81233.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708420406010012014084101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5136
#16
32.41.5
29.531.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End3.9
blue by 0.6
812
#28
33.01.4
31.232.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.7
End3.3
Second
5458
#23
23.41.5
21.623.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.3
End3.9
blue by 5.2
4543
#39
28.52.4
25.327.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
2643
#34
18.21.5
19.220.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
blue by 7.9
670
#27
26.12.4
23.225.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed