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Red69
142218.7
213518.5
166228.9
Blue112
513632.4
330325.7
167133.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699340608010012014069112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#21
28.90.1
28.328.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.4
End9.4
blue by 5.0
1671
#14
33.82.1
30.232.3
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
1422
#32
18.70.1
20.520.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 13.7
5136
#16
32.42.1
31.033.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End3.9
Third
2135
#36
18.50.1
21.521.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End2.6
blue by 7.1
3303
#22
25.72.1
25.227.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed