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Red57
605923.8
413527.6
5856.4
Blue37
145815.5
497313.7
549620.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58563040507080905737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#13
27.60.1
26.326.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End4.2
red by 6.8
5496
#38
20.82.4
22.219.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Second
23.80.1
24.224.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 8.3
1458
#40
15.52.4
16.514.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Third
585
#46
6.40.1
5.75.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End-1.1
blue by 7.3
4973
#49
13.72.4
16.113.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed