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Red137
471124.6
167853.3
25452.7
Blue120
132335.4
304526.6
349527.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1477250100200137120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.0
53.852.8
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End8.4
red by 17.9
35.42.3
32.434.7
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Second
254
#2
52.70.9
51.951.0
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 25.7
3495
#18
27.12.3
25.227.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.5
End3.1
Third
24.61.0
25.924.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 2.0
3045
#19
26.62.5
23.425.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned