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Red48
145815.5
330325.7
142218.7
Blue47
75117.9
817.2
454328.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565745505560654847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#22
25.70.8
16.515.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.0
End4.3
blue by 2.9
4543
#39
28.50.9
21.720.8
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
1422
#32
18.70.8
17.216.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.6
red by 0.8
751
#26
17.90.9
16.815.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
1458
#40
15.50.8
21.120.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
blue by 1.7
8
#37
17.20.9
16.715.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed