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Red45
513413.2
413527.6
64926.1
Blue66
385922.4
513729.8
304526.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58630501001504566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#13
27.61.3
19.017.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End4.2
blue by 2.2
29.80.6
25.225.8
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Second
649
#33
26.11.3
21.820.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.1
End3.0
blue by 0.5
3045
#19
26.60.7
16.817.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Third
5134
#47
13.21.3
16.014.7
Auto0.8
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 9.1
3859
#11
22.40.7
18.118.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed