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Red64
471124.6
549620.8
142218.7
Blue117
207325.5
348232.5
70133.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6096020408012014016064117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.1
24.925.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 8.4
701
#6
33.01.7
31.633.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End5.0
Second
5496
#38
20.80.1
19.819.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 11.7
32.51.7
32.033.8
Auto10.6
Teleop16.1
End5.8
Third
1422
#32
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 6.8
2073
#15
25.51.7
24.225.9
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned