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Qual 762016 Central Valley Regional
Red65
499016.0
417116.5
397029.6
Blue77
145815.5
304526.6
64926.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62692040801001201406577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#20
29.60.2
28.9→28.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 3.0
3045
#19
26.61.1
25.9→26.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Second
4171
#42
16.50.1
16.6→16.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 9.6
649
#33
26.11.0
25.3→26.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.1
End3.0
Third
4990
#41
16.00.2
16.1→16.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.5
red by 0.5
1458
#40
15.51.0
14.5→15.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed