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Red127
512439.5
183637.6
607218.6
Blue112
248529.3
476330.8
412324.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121036080120140160180127112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.3
38.638.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
red by 8.7
4763
#12
30.80.2
31.030.8
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Second
37.60.3
36.737.0
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
red by 8.3
2485
#15
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Third
6072
#41
18.60.3
17.618.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 6.3
4123
#22
24.90.2
25.124.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8