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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Orange County Regional
Red147
512439.5
183637.6
607218.6
Blue120
248529.3
476330.8
412324.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111103406080120140160180147120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#4
39.50.3
38.3→38.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
red by 8.7
4763
#12
30.80.1
30.9→31.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Second
1836
#3
37.60.3
36.4→36.7
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
red by 8.3
2485
#15
29.30.1
29.3→29.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Third
6072
#41
18.60.4
17.2→17.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 6.3
4123
#22
24.90.1
25.0→25.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8