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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Orange County Regional
Red126
347329.7
397036.6
461924.5
Blue106
432232.9
581030.3
499925.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161096080100140160180126106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#6
36.60.3
37.5→37.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
red by 3.7
4322
#9
32.90.1
32.9→32.9
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Second
3473
#11
29.70.3
30.6→30.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
blue by 0.6
5810
#8
30.30.1
30.4→30.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Third
4619
#38
24.50.3
25.4→25.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
blue by 0.5
4999
#32
25.00.1
25.0→25.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7