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Qual 102016 Orange County Regional
Red55
405621.6
58923.4
29438.1
Blue84
397036.6
622018.7
510021.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7660020401001205584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
38.11.5
33.9→32.5
Auto7.8
Teleop25.1
End5.2
red by 1.5
3970
#6
36.61.9
28.8→30.7
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
Second
589
#20
23.41.5
20.9→19.4
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
red by 1.8
5100
#23
21.62.6
15.1→17.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End4.9
Third
4056
#30
21.61.8
16.8→14.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End3.8
red by 2.8
6220
#34
18.72.6
16.6→19.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed