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Qual 92016 Orange County Regional
Red112
330950.1
581726.2
276120.4
Blue49
248529.3
587720.8
407924.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9656020408012014011249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#2
50.11.0
38.9→39.9
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 20.8
2485
#15
29.30.9
27.9→26.9
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Second
5817
#21
26.21.1
27.1→28.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 1.6
4079
#17
24.61.3
18.9→17.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
2761
#18
20.41.1
21.6→22.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5877
#25
20.81.3
13.6→12.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed