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Red79
510021.6
347329.7
407924.6
Blue77
461924.5
58021.4
563420.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63582040801001207977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#11
29.71.5
25.526.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 5.2
4619
#38
24.51.6
22.123.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Second
4079
#17
24.62.0
17.719.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End3.2
red by 3.2
580
#24
21.41.3
19.721.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Third
5100
#23
21.62.0
17.719.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End4.9
red by 1.5
5634
#31
20.12.2
15.717.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed