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Red32
248914.4
607218.6
249621.6
Blue84
420136.7
502516.5
416118.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596802040801001201401603284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2496
#36
21.62.0
17.615.6
Auto10.5
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 15.1
36.70.4
26.927.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
Second
6072
#41
18.62.9
18.615.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
4161
#27
18.50.5
16.116.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.6
Third
2489
#37
14.42.9
22.319.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 2.1
5025
#39
16.50.3
21.321.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed