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Qual 192016 Orange County Regional
Red136
330950.1
347023.1
345323.4
Blue66
499925.0
622018.7
447027.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8753020408010012014013666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#2
50.12.4
39.9→42.3
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 22.4
4470
#13
27.71.0
18.7→19.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Second
3453
#16
23.44.0
19.2→23.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
blue by 1.6
4999
#32
25.00.8
18.9→19.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Third
3470
#10
23.12.7
20.5→23.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End3.5
red by 4.4
6220
#34
18.71.0
19.2→20.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed