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Red102
581030.3
512439.5
412324.9
Blue57
588622.3
606921.2
58923.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6456020408010012010257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.53.3
32.235.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
red by 16.1
589
#20
23.40.7
19.418.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Second
30.34.5
14.619.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 8.0
5886
#28
22.30.9
16.715.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Third
4123
#22
24.94.5
14.418.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8
red by 3.7
6069
#26
21.20.9
19.118.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed