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Red79
183637.6
329511.6
432232.9
Blue55
550011.3
143819.2
276120.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66500204060801007955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.6
24.825.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
red by 17.2
2761
#18
20.40.4
22.722.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Second
32.90.6
27.528.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
red by 13.7
1438
#19
19.20.6
17.216.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
3295
#35
11.60.6
9.710.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 0.3
5500
#42
11.30.6
11.010.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed