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Red92
550011.3
412324.9
420136.7
Blue54
499925.0
405621.6
416118.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5954203040507080901009254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.72.9
27.330.2
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
red by 11.7
4999
#32
25.00.1
19.719.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Second
4123
#22
24.93.9
18.922.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8
red by 3.4
4056
#30
21.60.1
16.516.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End3.8
Third
5500
#42
11.33.9
10.314.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 7.2
4161
#27
18.50.1
16.716.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed