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Qual 232016 Orange County Regional
Red105
512439.5
347329.7
622018.7
Blue27
588622.3
502516.5
248529.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896420408010012014016010527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#4
39.50.5
35.5→36.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
red by 10.3
2485
#15
29.32.6
28.0→25.4
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Second
3473
#11
29.70.5
26.9→27.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 7.4
5886
#28
22.34.3
15.8→11.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Third
6220
#34
18.70.8
20.2→21.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 2.2
5025
#39
16.52.6
21.7→19.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed