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Red25
276120.4
543211.5
345323.4
Blue87
588622.3
420136.7
612323.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58613040507080902587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3453
#16
23.43.6
23.519.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
blue by 13.3
36.72.2
30.232.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
Second
2761
#18
20.42.2
22.320.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End3.3
blue by 3.2
6123
#14
23.63.3
15.618.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Third
5432
#40
11.53.6
11.88.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 10.8
5886
#28
22.33.3
11.514.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed