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Red51
550011.3
347329.7
395324.1
Blue100
248529.3
412324.9
607218.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65656070809051100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#11
29.70.8
27.526.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 0.5
2485
#15
29.31.8
25.427.2
Auto10.1
Teleop16.6
End2.5
Second
3953
#33
24.11.3
21.119.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End5.2
blue by 0.8
4123
#22
24.93.0
22.925.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8
Third
5500
#42
11.31.3
14.313.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 7.3
6072
#41
18.63.0
14.717.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed