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Red107
405621.6
581726.2
347649.1
Blue105
606921.2
330950.1
563420.1
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8182607090100110107105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.8
35.837.7
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
blue by 1.0
50.11.4
42.343.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
Second
5817
#21
26.21.8
26.928.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 4.9
6069
#26
21.22.4
17.219.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
4056
#30
21.63.1
16.719.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End3.8
red by 1.4
5634
#31
20.12.4
19.221.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed